El Linqueño vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
5º
13
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
SLP
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
LIN
37%
28%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
3 - 1
9DJ
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
DPR
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 0
DFR
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
DPR
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 4
DHA
23%
28%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |