El Farolito vs Oakland Stompers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+175%
-106%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
1º
1º
0
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 6 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 6 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 6 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 4 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 1 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 0 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 0 |
13º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Farolito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
EFS
4 - 1
OSC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COD
0 - 2
EFS
16%
21%
64%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EFS
4 - 0
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 4
EFS
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
EFS
3 - 0
COD
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Oakland Stompers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
OAS
0 - 2
SAC
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SRF
3 - 2
OAS
80%
12%
7%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OAS
2 - 5
COD
36%
21%
42%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OAS
2 - 8
NAV
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 0
OAS
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |