El Farolito vs Napa Valley 1839 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Farolito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SRF
2 - 2
EFS
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
EFS
8 - 0
OAS
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
EFS
4 - 1
OSC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COD
0 - 2
EFS
16%
21%
64%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EFS
4 - 0
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Napa Valley 1839
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 1
COD
82%
12%
7%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SRF
1 - 2
NAV
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EFS
4 - 0
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 0
OSC
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OAS
2 - 8
NAV
13%
16%
71%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |