El Bosque vs Alma de África analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Bosque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
XER
3 - 6
ELB
43%
21%
36%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ELB
0 - 3
ESP
16%
19%
66%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FED
3 - 1
ELB
32%
21%
47%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ELB
3 - 1
ILU
56%
21%
23%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
ELB
59%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alma de África
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESP
13%
18%
69%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FED
4 - 2
ALM
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
ILU
47%
22%
32%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
ALM
67%
18%
15%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 4
UDB
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |