El Bayadh vs NC Magra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
16º
13º
15
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Bayadh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 3
EBA
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
EBA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
EBA
0 - 1
USB
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SET
1 - 0
EBA
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
EBA
1 - 0
ETO
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 2
USB
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SET
0 - 0
NCM
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NCM
0 - 0
USM
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
OAK
1 - 0
NCM
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NCM
2 - 3
USM
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |