UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Ekranas Panevezys vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ekranas Panevezys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SIL
0 - 1
FKE
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FKE
1 - 1
VET
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FKE
1 - 0
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
FKE
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VET
0 - 1
FKE
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2008 |
TVM
1 - 1
TRA
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
TAM
0 - 1
TRA
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
KAL
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TRA
0 - 3
LEV
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |