Poli Ejido vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
POL
14%
25%
61%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
SFE
0 - 3
POL
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 2
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
POL
0 - 0
ALB
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
XER
1 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
UBC
3 - 2
CAD
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
UBC
21%
26%
54%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UBC
3 - 1
GUA
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 2
BUR
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |