Poli Ejido vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
LEV
2 - 2
POL
62%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
POL
2 - 1
CCF
46%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
SLA
2 - 0
POL
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
2 - 0
POL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
POL
0 - 1
ALB
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALB
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LEG
0 - 1
MUR
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
XER
2 - 0
MUR
39%
28%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |