Poli Ejido vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
PON
3 - 1
POL
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
PON
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
23%
29%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
ECI
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 2
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
RJA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
PON
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |