Poli Ejido vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 0
POL
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
UDL
0 - 2
POL
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
POL
4 - 1
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NUM
3 - 1
POL
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
ALB
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
RCF
1 - 1
EIB
45%
30%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 0
RCF
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
RCF
2 - 0
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CDL
2 - 0
RCF
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
RCF
2 - 0
CDL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |