Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Poli Ejido vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
23%
29%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
ECI
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
POL
2 - 0
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAD
1 - 0
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
POL
3 - 0
BET
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 3
PON
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
SES
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LEM
2 - 0
PON
27%
29%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PON
2 - 0
ZAM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
RCF
2 - 0
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |