Poli Ejido vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
ROQ
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ECI
5 - 1
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
LUC
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CPC
3 - 2
POL
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 1
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
CAD
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |