Poli Ejido vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
POL
1 - 1
ECI
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SRQ
2 - 1
POL
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
POL
2 - 0
AGD
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BET
0 - 0
POL
32%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
BET
2 - 2
LUC
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
YEC
1 - 1
LUC
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
6 - 0
LUC
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |