Poli Ejido vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ECI
0 - 3
POL
29%
28%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 1
POL
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
POL
0 - 2
SRQ
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
POL
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
POL
0 - 2
EST
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
GRA
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 0
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JER
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |