Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Poli Ejido vs Iliturgi CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
ILI
1 - 0
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
UDM
1 - 2
POL
36%
29%
35%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
POL
1 - 1
MOT
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
UBE
1 - 1
POL
48%
27%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
POL
2 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
ILI
1 - 0
POL
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
BEN
0 - 5
ILI
15%
26%
59%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
ILI
0 - 0
AMA
26%
36%
38%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
ILI
3 - 2
MMA
30%
31%
39%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 1
ILI
59%
23%
18%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |