Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-0
Poli Ejido vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 0
POL
43%
30%
28%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
BAE
0 - 1
POL
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
POL
2 - 0
BET
46%
29%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
REC
3 - 0
POL
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
59%
25%
15%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 1
MMA
32%
30%
38%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
BAE
0 - 1
POL
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MAL
2 - 1
BAE
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
BAE
1 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAE
49%
26%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |