Poli Ejido vs Atlético Marbella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 1
POL
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
POL
1 - 2
MAL
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CAD
0 - 0
POL
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
AMA
0 - 2
POL
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
XER
0 - 0
AMA
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
AMA
0 - 0
REC
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
CPC
2 - 1
AMA
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
AMA
1 - 1
BET
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |