Poli Ejido vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CAD
1 - 1
POL
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
POL
1 - 0
DBN
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
TAL
0 - 1
POL
37%
30%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
POL
2 - 0
DHE
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2001 |
JER
1 - 2
POL
42%
29%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALM
1 - 1
COR
52%
27%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ECI
0 - 0
ALM
47%
29%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ALM
3 - 0
MOT
41%
30%
29%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALM
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
ALM
0 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |