Poli Ejido vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 1
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
POL
3 - 3
FCB
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
POL
1 - 0
CFB
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 1
POL
24%
28%
49%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UES
2 - 0
ALC
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
EIB
2 - 0
ALC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
EIB
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
RCD
0 - 2
ALC
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
GRA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |