Poli Ejido vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RJA
0 - 0
POL
30%
30%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
POL
3 - 2
CAD
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ROQ
0 - 3
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
POL
1 - 2
SEV
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 0
POL
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
BET
23%
27%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 0
YEC
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
MUR
10%
22%
68%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |