Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-5
Ejea vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ejea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
TOL
2 - 0
EJE
67%
20%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
EJE
1 - 3
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
EJE
2 - 1
SAB
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ZAR
7 - 1
EJE
75%
17%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EJE
2 - 0
MUT
61%
23%
16%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 2
PEÑ
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CDC
1 - 0
PEÑ
47%
29%
25%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
BUR
59%
24%
16%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
VDB
1 - 2
PEÑ
61%
24%
15%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |