Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Ejea vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ejea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
EJE
3 - 0
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
EPI
1 - 2
EJE
18%
24%
59%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
EJE
2 - 1
CFA
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SDB
3 - 2
EJE
36%
28%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
EJE
0 - 2
UFC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
ECI
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BET
0 - 1
ARC
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 4
ALG
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAB
2 - 2
ARC
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
5 - 1
CDG
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |