Eintracht Trier vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
F95
3 - 1
EIN
89%
8%
4%
|
37 | 81 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
OWI
4 - 1
EIN
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
EIN
0 - 2
RVO
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
WWO
5 - 0
EIN
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
EIN
0 - 4
ASL
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
HOM
2 - 1
ERK
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
HOM
7 - 1
M05
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
AUG
1 - 1
HOM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 0
MUN
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
FSV
1 - 0
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |