Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
18º
18º
9
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JED
1 - 2
EIN
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
BRE
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
EIN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 2
WEI
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
5 - 1
EIN
46%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 2
HAV
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
3 - 0
LUB
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JED
3 - 2
LUB
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 4
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
LUB
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |