Eintracht Frankfurt vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
EIN
2 - 0
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 0
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 1
BVB
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
S04
1 - 1
EIN
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 3
KAI
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RWA
2 - 3
MSV
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
OSN
2 - 2
MSV
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
AAA
2 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |