Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
81.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
16º
3º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 97% |
|
Champions League
|
66.5% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
BJK
1 - 3
EIN
22%
21%
57%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 4
EIN
17%
20%
64%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 3
VKP
67%
20%
14%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 0
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
EIN
27%
23%
50%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 0
BYM
10%
14%
76%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 1
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 5
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BYM
9 - 2
DZG
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 6
BYM
4%
8%
88%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |