Europa League Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
EIN
3 - 5
KAI
56%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
MSV
1 - 0
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
BYM
2 - 0
EIN
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
EIN
0 - 4
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
BYM
2 - 0
EIN
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
KFC
1 - 3
BYM
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
BYM
7 - 0
BRE
79%
13%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
BYM
2 - 0
EIN
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
KOL
2 - 4
BYM
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
BYM
2 - 0
EIN
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |