Eintracht Bamberg vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
15º
15º
19
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Bamberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
EIN
68%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 1
SCH
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
EIN
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 3
KÖL
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAH
0 - 1
ILL
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
3 - 1
AUB
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 0
ILL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ILL
5 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |