Eintracht Bamberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
17º
17º
42
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Bamberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
BUC
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 0
EIN
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAH
1 - 0
EIN
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
5 - 2
EIN
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 3
AUG
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 1
BAY
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANS
0 - 1
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
HAH
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAC
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |