Eintracht Bamberg vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
15º
15º
7
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 74 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 60 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 33 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 22 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Bamberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 2
TSA
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 2
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 2
ILL
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
EIN
68%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 1
SCH
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ANS
2 - 2
BUC
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 1
ANS
28%
22%
50%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
7 - 1
ANS
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |