Einheit Wernigerode vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
16º
10º
7
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 66 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EWD
1 - 3
SVG
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
EWD
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EWD
4 - 1
RSV
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
3 - 1
EWD
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
EWD
1 - 4
MAG
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 1
WIS
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
WIS
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 2
SVG
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
WIS
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
RSV
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |