Einheit Wernigerode vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
14º
9º
40
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BIS
5 - 0
EWD
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EWD
1 - 6
UNI
53%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 2
EWD
58%
19%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EWD
4 - 2
VFL
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EWD
5 - 0
FSV
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 0
SVG
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GER
1 - 1
SCF
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 3
SCF
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 3
BIS
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 1
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |