Einheit Wernigerode vs VFC Plauen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
53.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
17º
9º
57
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 3
EWD
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EWD
5 - 0
UNI
30%
22%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
EWD
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EWD
1 - 1
LFC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 1
EWD
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
EIN
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WAC
3 - 3
PLA
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
3 - 0
VFL
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
7 - 1
BUD
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |