Einheit Wernigerode vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
17º
9º
59
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
1 - 1
EWD
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EWD
3 - 2
PLA
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AUE
1 - 3
EWD
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EWD
5 - 0
UNI
30%
22%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVB
3 - 0
EWD
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 3
EIN
65%
19%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
WAC
3 - 0
BIS
21%
21%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
VFL
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 0
SCF
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
BIS
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |