Einheit Wernigerode vs FSV Motor Marienberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
14º
9º
22
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAG
3 - 1
EWD
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EWD
3 - 1
EIN
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 1
EWD
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EWD
2 - 2
VFB
27%
19%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
EWD
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FSV Motor Marienberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 0
SVG
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GER
4 - 1
FSV
79%
12%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
SCF
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 0
FSV
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 6
UNI
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |