Eilenburg vs Gera 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EIL
3 - 0
ZWI
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ERZ
4 - 1
EIL
48%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
EIL
1 - 1
MAG
12%
21%
67%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
EIL
0 - 3
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MEU
1 - 0
EIL
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gera 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 3
GER
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GER
3 - 2
ERZ
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
GER
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GER
0 - 0
MEU
42%
25%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |