Eilenburg vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
GER
3 - 0
EIL
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
EIL
2 - 0
DRE
53%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
EIL
2 - 1
DRE
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 0
EIL
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CZJ
4 - 0
EIL
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AUE
0 - 3
SVG
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 0
MAG
23%
24%
54%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
SAC
2 - 0
AUE
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 2
AUE
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 1
GER
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |