VfB Eichstätt vs TSV Kornburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
16º
1º
14
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
41.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
EIC
21%
22%
58%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
2 - 0
AMM
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
EIC
19%
21%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
2 - 1
ELT
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Kornburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
WEI
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 2
KOR
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
4 - 1
ASV
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 0
KOR
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
KOR
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |