VfB Eichstätt vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
16º
1º
24
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
41.5% | 27% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26.5% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 2
ING
36%
24%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 2
TSK
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
2 - 1
EIC
26%
22%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
EIC
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ELT
1 - 1
WEI
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 3
ELT
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ELT
1 - 1
ASV
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ELT
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ELT
2 - 2
SSV
7%
15%
79%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |