VfB Eichstätt vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
16º
1º
13
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
29 | 72 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 67 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 66 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 58 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 57 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 56 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 50 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 43 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 40 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 37 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 33 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
17º
|
48.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 13 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
48% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EIC
0 - 0
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JRE
0 - 1
EIC
22%
22%
57%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 1
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 2
KOR
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 1
BAY
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ATS
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |