Eibar vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
25.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
FCB
0 - 0
EIB
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
EIB
2 - 1
PAL
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
VAD
1 - 0
EIB
70%
21%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
EIB
0 - 0
ATH
42%
30%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 0
EIB
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
VIL
2 - 4
LLE
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
MER
2 - 1
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 0
RMC
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
VIL
4 - 1
FCB
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
VIL
2 - 0
RJA
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |