Eibar vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ZAR
3 - 0
EIB
84%
12%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
EIB
1 - 2
UDL
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
RSO
0 - 0
EIB
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
EIB
0 - 0
LEV
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
RAY
4 - 1
EIB
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 1
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
RAC
2 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 0
GIR
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
XER
5 - 3
MUR
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |