Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-3
Eibar vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
73%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 0
ALM
48%
28%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 0
EIB
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
EIB
0 - 0
RAC
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
EIB
0 - 0
CDT
38%
30%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAD
0 - 0
EIB
38%
32%
31%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 0
MUR
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 3
RMA
25%
23%
52%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
LEG
3 - 4
RMA
11%
20%
69%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 1
DEP
68%
18%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |