Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-4
Eibar vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
EIB
1 - 1
TUD
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
EIB
3 - 1
COL
60%
24%
15%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
CAR
2 - 0
EIB
62%
24%
14%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 0
EIB
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
EIB
3 - 0
ARG
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FCB
2 - 0
RAY
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
UES
3 - 2
RAY
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALA
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 0
EIB
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
RAY
1 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |