Eibar vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
EIB
3 - 1
DEP
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1957 |
EIB
0 - 3
RCF
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
SDI
4 - 0
EIB
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
EIB
1 - 3
TER
74%
15%
11%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SSC
1 - 0
EIB
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
SSC
3 - 0
RAY
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RAY
1 - 0
RAC
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
RCF
2 - 1
RAY
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
RAY
1 - 0
CUL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ALA
1 - 1
RAY
78%
14%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |