Eibar vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1955 |
CDC
4 - 0
EIB
64%
18%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
EIB
4 - 0
CUL
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
1 - 0
EIB
57%
20%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
EIB
3 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
CAU
4 - 0
EIB
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
RCF
1 - 4
ZAR
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
JUV
1 - 1
RCF
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
RCF
3 - 2
SSC
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
BAR
3 - 2
RCF
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
RCF
1 - 0
AVI
65%
19%
17%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |