Eibar vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
CAU
4 - 2
EIB
63%
20%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
EIB
1 - 1
GIM
73%
15%
12%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
BAR
3 - 2
EIB
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
EIB
2 - 4
LLE
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LOG
5 - 0
EIB
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
RCF
0 - 0
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SDE
3 - 1
RCF
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
RCF
4 - 0
69%
16%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RCF
1 - 2
CAU
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
GIM
1 - 2
RCF
63%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |