Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-5
Eibar vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
EIB
2 - 0
LLE
65%
23%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 1
EIB
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SDA
1 - 0
EIB
30%
30%
40%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EIB
2 - 1
SES
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 1
EIB
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SEV
0 - 2
MAL
60%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 2
AND
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GET
1 - 0
MAL
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 1
CPC
86%
11%
4%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | -1 |