Eibar vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GIM
2 - 1
EIB
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
EIB
2 - 1
CEL
23%
27%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
RSO
1 - 1
EIB
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
EIB
1 - 3
RCF
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
EIB
0 - 3
SPO
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAL
3 - 1
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CCF
2 - 1
MAL
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALA
56%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SLA
0 - 0
MAL
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CDT
1 - 1
MAL
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |