Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-6
Eibar vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
EIB
1 - 0
GER
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
AUR
1 - 1
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
EIB
2 - 0
BKE
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
SDA
1 - 1
EIB
39%
30%
31%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
EIB
5 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ATH
1 - 1
BET
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
OSA
1 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ATH
0 - 0
ELC
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1984 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |